Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 67.194432 75.941915 84.928450 94.818266 105.364983 116.245992 128.290585
2025-03-30 54.682518 67.275782 80.828797 96.366921 113.562013 131.892563 152.796695
2025-04-06 45.907899 60.420830 76.610000 95.735065 117.455367 141.125735 168.646833
2025-04-13 38.237233 53.769372 71.699974 93.472068 118.771745 146.868782 180.069406
2025-04-20 35.073631 51.963363 71.983387 96.793717 126.104512 159.092260 198.509648
2025-04-27 31.844121 49.689334 71.393322 98.813810 131.705653 169.171761 214.387564
2025-05-04 27.877597 46.083468 68.855755 98.217313 133.995380 175.248485 225.530601
2025-05-11 24.307856 42.648125 66.247025 97.285484 135.678314 180.454341 235.532413
2025-05-18 21.860933 40.493960 65.082284 97.983214 139.199646 187.727659 247.872066
2025-05-25 19.236644 37.841188 63.072852 97.451652 141.086998 192.961396 257.741195
2025-06-01 17.224392 35.881385 61.837686 97.788514 143.952438 199.298311 268.866990
2025-06-08 14.968735 33.332645 59.632391 96.723939 144.955121 203.302776 277.153124
2025-06-15 13.702871 32.233964 59.398497 98.255222 149.271447 211.411040 290.469748
2025-06-22 12.624680 31.336082 59.384634 100.040607 153.896016 219.903656 304.278818
2025-06-29 10.982530 29.317282 57.625598 99.363484 155.278084 224.345780 313.148499
2025-07-06 9.117398 26.674040 54.776963 97.054100 154.433335 225.943088 318.492851
2025-07-13 8.777579 26.771389 56.038153 100.449884 161.060346 236.879736 335.276918
2025-07-20 8.167495 26.289826 56.370726 102.515101 165.921621 245.602917 349.359172
2025-07-27 7.055437 24.687582 54.866527 101.905334 167.184198 249.760315 357.801795
2025-08-03 5.998153 23.036258 53.179639 100.952740 167.928594 253.219940 365.353638
2025-08-10 5.343876 22.148739 52.669642 101.666027 170.888723 259.485042 376.383544
2025-08-17 4.551568 20.817642 51.345039 101.122617 172.101506 263.488217 384.580878
2025-08-24 3.975235 19.894276 50.647105 101.466991 174.498849 268.997976 394.656472